Climate negotiations should be addressed at the summit, Saturday and Sunday in Rome, between the top twenty economies of the planet, which are also the main emitters of greenhouse gases in the world, with a risk of confrontation. between the countries of the North and South.
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It was a risk before the G20 summit, gathered Saturday, 30 and Sunday, October 31 in Rome. This could stay at the Glasgow Cop26 organized in the stride. On the occasion of these two major multilateral appointments, climate negotiations threatened to degenerate into a confrontation between rich countries and emerging countries. Among the three countries expected at the turn are China of Xi Jinping, India from Narendra Modi and Brazil de Jair Bolsonaro, three authoritarian leaders, anxious to develop their economy, especially after the pandemic, and prompts to put their sovereignty ahead When it comes to defending their interests.
“The possibility they leave in a crusade, by making the spokesperson of the poorest countries, especially Africans, exists. We must do everything to avoid this type of cleavage”, observes a Western diplomat by the way. discussions. This is one of the reasons for which Emmanuel Macron has eager on Saturday to meet the Indian Prime Minister Modi, in order to “arrest him” in the climate discussions, as explained by the Elysee before The G20.
The stake is all the more at the heart of the top of the top twenty economies of the planet that it will end at the time when the United Nations Climate Conference begins. Nearly 30,000 people, from 196 countries, will gather in Glasgow from October 31 to November 12, for crucial negotiations to accelerate the fight against climate change. As soon as the G20 finished, the leaders of the great powers will fly in the effect of Rome to the Scottish city where 120 heads of state and government are expected on Monday and Tuesday. Xi Jinping will be absent, but will participate videoconferencing.
Limit climate warming at 1.5 ° C
“This concomitance is very important. This is where the equilibriums could crystallize”, judges the French ministry of the ecological transition. “A positive outcome would arrive at Glasgow with an impetus and hope to succeed in containing global warming,” abounds Alden Meyer, an expert at the E3G reflection center and the end of the climate negotiations.
In order to truly serve a launching ramp at the COP, the G20 is expected on several questions, trading resembling a vast puzzle whose parts are still scattered. First, recognize the need to limit climate warming to 1.5 ° C in relation to the pre-industrial era. This is the most ambitious goal of the Paris Climate Agreement, sealed in 2015, which also plans to contain the “well below” 2 ° C warming. The British Presidency of COP26 has made this objective its priority: “to Keep 1.5 ° C Alive” (“Keep alive 1.5 ° C”).
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