Will Macronism survive Emmanuel Macron after 2027?

The debate already exists within the majority on the political positioning to have in four years: should we continue to build a “central arc” between center left and center right or build a wider right force? p>

by Matthew Goar

The questions about the legacy in politics are eternal. On August 28, 1969, four months after the resignation of the founder of the V e Republic, a more Gaullian François Mauriac than ever analyzed the heavy weight on the shoulders of his successors. “Loyalty to De Gaulle, and we all agree on this point, cannot be expressed by an imitation, by a copy of what it was and without taking into account the changes made, the cards that we do not We have more in hand, “said the writer in his notepad (Mollat-Robert Laffont, 2020), before welcoming the change of republic” which created the permanent conditions of salvation for when he would no longer be there ” . A year before his own death, Mauriac had a hope: Gaullism would survive De Gaulle.

The time has changed, the characters too. But not the questions. At the end of the summer, the Elysée had little appreciated to see the birth of the beginning of a succession battle between a few tenors of the macronist ar ar. For a few weeks, Gérald Darmanin, Bruno Le Maire or Edouard Philippe had been the subject of press articles on the “ambitious 2027”. The after-Macron began when his second term had barely started. A span that recalled the way in which Nicolas Sarkozy had shaken the start of Jacques Chirac’s second term in 2002. In appearance, the interested parties and their loved ones calmed this beginning of fever. Too early, too risky. “I can’t stand that we are talking about 2027, it’s an insult to ignore the current five-year term,” says Senator François Patriat (Côte-d’Or).

Behind the scenes, however, the continuous positioning battle with a big strategic question: will Macronism survive Emmanuel Macron? In a landscape dominated by three blocks (left-naked, macronism, extreme right), can the center take the risk of mutating? Ironically of recent history, these reflections had first agitated the oppositions swept and weakened after 2017. Since the re -election of April 2022, many executives of the majority have been wondering in turn if the macronist alliance which goes from the social -Liberalism in the right center will be lasting or if it will collapse when the tenant of the Elysée will no longer hold “the two pieces of the omelet”, according to a juppeist expression.

for Philippe, the center right, an attraction force

From his appointment to Matignon, Edouard Philippe described himself as a man on the right. He has never been very interest in the left wing of the majority and he is always convinced that the center right will be a force of attraction, even if his entourage prefers to delay. “Macron’s succession will be a moment of truth. Macronism without Macron, it will not necessarily be the same thing, there will be an adaptation, believes Gilles Boyer, European deputy and former political advisor of Mr. Philippe in Matignon. Est- What will be the emergence of left macronism and right macronism? I doubt that the whole will remain united around someone. “

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/Media reports cited above.