Opinion tenses, support is eroding among deputies, the concessions to be released are rare … The executive power is faced with a bundle of difficulties, while the postponement of the age of departure to 64 years “is no longer negotiable,” assured Elisabeth Borne on Sunday.
by Ivanne Trippenbach
Hold. And rectify the shot, before it is too late. In the government, the relief which had first followed the presentation of its pension reform project on January 10, gave way to the discomfort in view of the processions of more than a million people in France, on January 19. Then to doubt. What if the flagship site of the second five-year period, whose examination in committee at the National Assembly begins Monday, January 30, slipped into the decor? The executive power has so far not convinced the French. He even, in the space of a fortnight, tense opinion and raised concern in his own majority.
The social basis, already narrow, on which he was leaning was eroded. The Warning of the fall of Bruno Le Maire, during a dinner at the Elysée in September 2022, returns in memory of the relatives of Emmanuel Macron: why wait, since the reform will lead the power of 15 points of unpopularity ? All of them have in mind the leap, noted Wednesday by the Elabe Institute, of 10 points in one week in the rejection of the government project. Three quarters of the French consider him unfair. “This stiffening is undoubtedly linked to the fact that everyone realizes what it means concretely”, we read in the entourage of Elisabeth Borne.
But an index worries the ministers and advisers interviewed by MO12345lemonde. Retirees, the only category that supported the reform, now say they are predominantly opposed. “They felt spared, but evolve as the rest of the opinion on the feeling of injustice, describes Bernard Sananès, president of Elabe. This can be explained by a return of solidarity with their children and grandchildren, And a fear of disorder attributed to the executive. However, it is the electoral base of Emmanuel Macron and a population that puts pressure on the right. “
” toxic cocktail “
A reversal that could influence the second part of the equation. The government fears to lose the parliamentary base which – mostly relative paradox – constituted its main asset. The promise of a majority won thanks to the alliance with the right Les Républicains (LR), displayed in early January, allowed Elisabeth Borne to put her weapon from 49.3. In Matignon, we assure that the boss of the party, Eric Ciotti, and that of the group in the National Assembly, Olivier Marleix, gave their word. Without guarantee that the forty of LR votes of LR follows, fifteen having already said against … this fog thickens with the sling wind which crosses the majority, where a dozen deputies oppose the project. Voting in the National Assembly could be played in a handful of votes, jeopardizing the postponement of the legal age to 64 years in 2030.
You have 66.51% of this article to read. The continuation is reserved for subscribers.