If during the situation between Poland and Belarus with migrants will not come de essay, in the near future it is possible to expect further militarization of interstate borders. Three possible scenarios for the development of events on the border of the two countries reveals the Polish Edition InfoSecurity24.
The publication claims that any strengthening of the Belarusian side on the border will be represented by Minsk as “the need for the face of the aggressive steps of Poland and Lithuania.” In this regard, the publication allows the development of a cross-border situation between Belarus and Poland for several scenarios.
Soft scenario involves the appearance of unmanned aerial vehicles, helicopters, armored vehicles and sniper groups from the Belarusian side. Hard – input to the crisis area of heavy vehicles of the regular army. “In the extreme case, you can expect the activity of Russia, for example, the emergence of Russian border guards (FSB) on the Polish-Belarusian border,” the publication says.
In early November, in Belarus on the border with Poland and Lithuania, migrants from the Middle East, who are trying to get into the European Union, broke a tent camp. Western countries accuses the Belarusian authorities in the fact that they specifically bring migrants to themselves on airplanes and force them to storm the border.