Electricity: between nuclear power and renewable energies, six scenarios for 2050

The National Manager of the Transmission of Electricity (RTE) has published on Monday, October 25. a vast study to define the future of the French electrical system

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It’s noting that this work was expected, and that they will be commented. The national manager of the electricity transport network (RTE) publishes, Monday, October 25, the main teachings of a broad study aimed at defining the future of the French electrical system. Launched in 2019 at the request of the Government, this prospective exercise entitled “Future Energetics 2050” draws up six scenarios supposed to achieve carbon neutrality within thirty years, and thus fight against climate change.

For the future electrical production of the country, the various trajectories range from one option “100% renewable energies” to another with another 50% nuclear. Each time, the company RTE, mainly owned by EDF and the Caisse des Dépôts, describes the technical feasibility conditions, but also the cost and expected impact for the environment and for society. In addition to this first report of some 600 pages, the complete result of modelizations should be made public early 2022.

Published six months from the presidential election, this study should weigh heavily in the political debate. In the context of an aging nuclear park, France, and therefore the contenders to the Elysee, faces a choice of importance: replacing some end-of-life reactors by new, or even focus on the development of renewable energies. If most candidates have already pronounced themselves on their desire to revive the atom sector, Emmanuel Macron should take a position in the coming weeks, knowing that the president said on October 12, In the presentation of the France 2030 Plan, which the country still needs this technology “, very little transmitting carbon dioxide but disputed in particular because of the radioactive waste it generates.

RTE, for its part, hope to contribute to a “most enlightened and documented as documented debate”. “There is urgency to mobilize and choose an orientation, points out Xavier Piechaczyk, the Chairman of the Executive Board. We are in a race against the watch to respond to the climate crisis. All scenarios require considerable investments on which it is time to take an option. “

  • two prerequisites: supply security and carbon neutrality

Each of the six scenarios presented meets two prerequisites. First, ensure the supply of supply of the French electrical system. The model used by RTE simulates the balance between consumption and production at each time of each day and each year for thirty years, while taking into account the weather criteria. “Some scenarios are more demanding or more uncertain, but all guarantee exactly the same supply security as today,” Piechaczyk insists.

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/Media reports.