On the right, rallying and defections aim more to prepare the after-election in case of victory of Emmanuel Macron. On the left, each candidate wants to take over the legislative.
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The French have not yet had the time to look at the presidential election of the 10th and 24th of April that some of its actors already bear their eyes on the stage according. Why, if not, elected representatives of the Republicans (LR) and the national rally (RN) would join Eric Zemmour despite his (very) ore dice chances of victory? Why does the left persist in his disunity while surveys promise his multiple candidates a score of less than 10% or even 5%? Why, finally, the former Prime Minister, Edouard Philippe, or the President of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region, Laurent Wauquiez, two men as ambitious as methodical, would have decided to spend their turn during this ballot? The explanation holds in a word: recomposition. The key to the future, to believe all these protagonists.
The latter expect that the demolition ball activated in 2017 by Emmanuel Macron returns today to complete his clearing from the political scene. If the promise of “exceeding” left-right cleavage applied by the Head of State has shaken these two pillars of the public debate, the recomposition of the offer is still “unfinished”, as the note the Deputy Chief Executive Officer of IPSOS , Dyer brice. “The smashing of the Socialist Party and the LR by Emmanuel Macron did not go to the end. The traditional partisan organization was upset but there are still elements that stand up”, recalls the sounder. And this applies especially for the right, which has managed to keep little or foremost its positions in local elections, and clings to hope to take the presidential thanks to the candidate LR, Valérie Pécresse.
A defeat of the President of the Ile-de-France region for the benefit of Emmanuel Macron – anticipated scenario for the hour by all the opinion studies – redistribute the cards. Especially in case of elimination from the first round.
hypothetical “union of lines”
In this hypothesis, the LR leaders are concerned to see the President of the Republic constitute their depends on a national unity government, which will complete the siphoning operation initiated with the appointment of Edouard Philippe in Matignon, there is At five years. The latter, through his new party, horizons, dreams again in the pivot of this rocking movement. “The recomposition of the right is one of the two major challenges of this presidential election, analyzes the former Prime Minister, Manuel Valls, who has just published a book dedicated to Eric Zemmour (Zemmour the Anti-Upublicain, Editions of the Observatory) . If Valérie Pécresse is not in the second round, the LRs will explode; and more if it’s Zemmour who is qualified. The other big issue is whether the national-populist block becomes de facto the only alternative, this which would be very dangerous for our democracy. “
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