Despite the sanitary crisis, the war in Ukraine, the difficult identification of the issue and candidates with little interest, surprises remain possible on Sunday, April 10.
By
The election campaign of 2022 is obviously singular and strange: marked by a considerable distance and a level of abstention which will undoubtedly be particularly high or even historical if it exceeds 28%, it is the Sign of deep democratic fatigue and the disturbance of a number of rules of the game. However, the French did not stay outside this campaign, and many and powerful motions of opinion took place in three months. It is this paradox that must be illuminated.
To begin, let’s say it clearly: rarely an election campaign will have little arrested the French. At five days of the vote, they are 75% to be interested in the presidential election, seven points less than in 2017, and only 50% to grant him a note of interest of 9 or 10 on a scale of 0 to 10. To this several reasons: the fatigue and anxiety of the French First, which first characterize their emotional state and encourage the decline more than to participate in a large collective scene and citizen of choice of choice. a President of the Republic.
“Concern”, “uncertainty” and “fatigue” are cited by 47% respectively, 45% and 40% of our fellow citizens; “Hope” and “trust” by 28% and 17%. “Anger” and “revolt” by 17% and 14%. This does not mean that the country is satisfied, it is clearly clearly dissatisfied and said. But that it is not drained by a noisy and mobilizing anger. The pandemic, then, participates in this fatigue and has for a long time frozen the debates, anesthetizing the campaign. And the French now aspire, in this exit of sanitary crisis that does not stop stretching, to find individual and family pleasures. The war in Ukraine finally, after a phase of heating and deep anguish, altered the follow-up of a strictly national electoral dispute, despite the link that could be done with the position of some candidates. Three key factors, but do not explain everything.
To these root causes and somehow external to the countryside add themselves to others. And first of all, the candidates themselves: seven of them – we did not emphasize it – were already in 2017 and sometimes even in 2012. The French know them, they are for them without surprise and often smoother than before. Of the new five, the opinion surveys tell us that Fabien Roussel (Communist Party), Yannick Jadot (Europe Ecology-Les Verts), Anne Hidalgo (Socialist Party) and Valérie Pécresse (Republicans) have not created, c is a euphemism, strong effects in public opinion. Finally, the only atypical and particularly clevant phenomenon, which also explains its breakthrough, will have been Eric Zemmour (reconquest!). But on the mode of rejection and anxiety rather than envy. As for Mr. Roussel, he will certainly have found his singularity, but the phenomenon remains marginal.
You have 44.52% of this article to read. The rest is reserved for subscribers.