A note from the Unédic shows that the number of “rights openings” has dropped, in particular due to stricter access conditions.
by Bertrand Bissuel
The unions would have preferred the facts to prove them wrong. The unemployment insurance reform, decided in 2019 and put into force – in several stages – until the end of 2021, began to have its effects. They are synonymous with amputee rights and downwards for part of the job seekers. This is shown by a note from Unédic, the joint association that manages the regime, whose representatives of employees and employers have learned on December 16.
The study in question is interested in the impact of measures taken by decree under the first five -year term of Emmanuel Macron. They had the consequence of hardening the conditions of compensation. First, the criteria for access to the system have become more demanding, since individuals are required to have worked for six months out of twenty-four (instead of four out of twenty-eight, with previous regulations) to reach a Service, and unemployment insurance rights are only recharged from a number of hours six times higher than before. Then, the allowance decreases from the seventh month for the unemployed under the age of 57 who received remuneration equal to or greater than some 4,700 euros gross per month when they were active. Finally, the calculation method to determine the amounts paid has been modified, in order to encourage employees to stay on sustainable employment.
Unédic stresses that the results of his research must be interpreted with caution, in particular because the data exploited relate to a period up to the end of June. The incriminated arrangements continue to rise in charge and it will be necessary “more perspective” in order to assess the “behavior changes”, which are expected among the workers, due to the new rules.
Once these precautions have been taken, the authors of the note explain that the number of “rights openings” for unemployment insurance has dropped sharply (-20 %), between mid-2019 and mid-2022 . Such a trend comes from the “combination” of two factors: stricter conditions of access (six months of activity against four before), which closed the doors of the regime to thousands of unemployed, and a dynamic economic situation. The decrease is more marked in those under 25 (- 26 %), as well as in those “having lost a fixed-term contract” (- 30 %) or an temporary contract (- 37 %)- in other words young and the precarious.
“Powerful eviction effects”
In total, the number of beneficiaries reflected 275,000 between July 2021 and June 2022 (- 7 %). Again, the evolution is clearer for those under 25 (- 12 %), but it can have a “link” with the plan launched in 2020 by the government to support hires in this age group. If we reason in percentages, the proportion of “compensated recipients” among the registrants at Pôle Emploi crumbles, going from 40.4 % in December 2021 to 36.6 % in June 2022.
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