The fronts are frozen, four weeks after the invasion launched by Moscow on February 24th. Tactical and volunteer pauses of the troops intertwine and the hypothesis of a military failure becomes conceivable.
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The offensive machine has blocked. Launched on February 24, the dazzling war of annihilation of Ukraine desired by Vladimir Putin has been experiencing a brutal slowdown for three weeks. A real storm, masked by the storm of fire projected on civilians, in the hospitals of Chernihiv, the residential suburbs of kyiv, the theater of Maroupol.
It is too early to pay the accounts of an invasion operation which, in addition to Crimea and the separatist regions of the Donbass taken in 2014, has already conquered 49,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory – it is more than Belgium, as much as Denmark. But, after a month of war, tactical and voluntary pauses of the troops intertwine, to draw a possible failure of the Russian army.
Russian stagnation
Vladimir Putin wanted to “demilitarize” and “denazify” the country in less than a week, according to convergent analyzes. A company with an exorbitant human, political and economic cost increases from day to day. For a month, the Ukrainian army has resisted. None of the major cities in the country is occupied except Kherson at the mouth of the DNIEPR in the south of the country. Thus Kharkiv, an emblematic strategic goal because the second city of the country with 1.5 million inhabitants in the north, nevertheless near the Russian border, has not fallen as it is wildly bombarded. The Russian army seems to have given up conquering it immediately.
“The Russian forces have not launched large-scale attacks since March 4th. It has the impression of an army that stubbornly stubbornly to pursue a bad plan until we are nested, dispersed , and blocked in front of the localities “, raised the former French and historian Colonel Michel Goya, who writes a regular newsletter of operations. This army even cash in serious reverses. Zaporijia held, even if his nuclear power plant is in the hands of the Russians. The Ukrainian soldiers sold their opponents out of Voznessensk, a city of 35,000 inhabitants, taken for three days and released. On March 21, they “pushed back with strong losses an armored regiment from southern Izioum. Involving two aerial assault brigades (without helicopters), it is undoubtedly the most important Ukrainian attack of war”, Note Mr. Goya.
The Moscow troops are fixed on some cities, locks identified in the invasion plan, which they have undertaken to destroy failing them, Chernihiv, Soumy, Kharkiv, Mykolav, Maroupol. “Death is everywhere”, reported on March 16 the Journalists of the AG agency, plunged into the martyrdom of Maroupol. “The surrounding routes are undermined, and the port blocked. The food is exhausted and the Russians have prevented humanitarian attempts to send them. Parents have even left their newborn in the hospital, in the hope of give them a chance to live in a place with water and electricity. “
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