Covid-19: a spark of hope in figures of epidemic

If the circulation of the virus is still rising, due to the extreme contagiousness of Omicron variant, the lesser gravity of the latter is confirmed, with lower rates of hospitalizations. The situation remains tense in the hospital, but the warning signs of a possible recession are emerging in some areas.

In and

Will we soon see the end of the tunnel? The epidemiological assessment of public Health France (SPF), Friday 14 January, calls for cautious optimism. On the one hand, the country faces a “sharp increase in the flow of SARS-CoV-2” on the week of January 3 to 9 (S01) indicates SPF. Furthermore, new infections nationally, reached record levels in terms of the rest of the world, if we judge from the site “Our World in Data”. Moreover, according to SPF, the majority of regions in metropolitan France and overseas, have faced an “increase in new admissions to hospital and critical care.” This “significantly increases the tension on the hospital care.”

On the other hand, a recession beginning in the new infections seems to sketch in some areas – hope to confirm. In addition, “the new variant, Omicron, is less serious than its predecessor, the variant Delta, on the criterion of conventional hospitalization. Unless, however, in over 80 years, if one believes the data management research, studies of evaluation and statistics [Drees] notes Zureik Mahmoud, professor of epidemiology and public health at the University of Versailles-Saint-Quentin (Yvelines). Better yet, Omicron is much less serious criticisms Delta in terms of hospital care. “to these reassuring data are added the encouraging testimonies of two officials of the vessels admirals hospitals in Paris and Marseille, the AP-HP and AP-HM . What, in short, to legitimize the portrait of Omicron, Janus with two faces: “Many more contagious, less dangerous.”

In a week, “nearly one in five” tested positive

start with the incidence rate, traffic marker SARS-CoV-2. Between 3 and 9 January, it rose to 2811 new infections per 100 000 inhabitants, against 1,917 the previous week (+ 47%). Or, on average, more than 269,500 cases per day. That same week, “nearly one in five tested positive,” said SPF.

The increase in the incidence rate affects all age groups. He remained in maximum 20-29 years (5208, + 44%). But it has the most improved in 0-9 years (2524, + 132%) and 10-19 (4520, + 104%), as the detection rate, which is increased by + 241 % for 0-9 years and 87% among 10-19 year olds, in connection with the school year.

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/Media reports.