Euler Hermes International Insurance Company reduced expectations from the Russian economy. According to its analysts presented in the forecast (there is at the disposal of the “Renta.ru”), the growth of Russian GDP in 2022 will be three percent instead of the 3.3 percent voiced in previous estimates.
lowered and evaluating the growth of the economy in 2021: from 4.5 to four percent. The main reasons for the decline in both indicators was the deterioration of expectations for the export of energy and geopolitical tension.
Global Economics, according to Euler Hermes estimates, as a result of 2022 will grow by 4.1 percent, while growth will be uneven due to the increasing gap between rich and poor countries. Rich will provide more than half of the increase – for the first time since the world’s world crisis 2008-2009.
US GDP and eurozone will rotate by 3.9 and 4.1 percent, respectively, China is 5.2 percent (after 8.1 percent in 2021-m). The main driver of universal growth will be the development of international trade against the background of removing coronavirus restrictions.
At the same time, GDP growth will be wrapped with increased inflation – at least until the end of the first half of the year it will exceed the target levels of central banks of most countries. Another obstacle to restoring the global economy can be premature collapse of state support.